{"id":1251,"date":"2025-02-28T00:35:35","date_gmt":"2025-02-28T00:35:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/?p=1251"},"modified":"2025-03-14T00:17:41","modified_gmt":"2025-03-14T00:17:41","slug":"what-are-historical-expected-returns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/what-are-historical-expected-returns\/","title":{"rendered":"What Are Historical Expected Returns?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>For each investment, the historical expected return is <strong>calculated as the annualised geometric (compound) average of its daily returns over the past three years<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daily returns are calculated as the percentage change in the investment&#8217;s price from one day to the next. For securities younger than three years, the calculation is based on the available data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Note:<\/strong> When comparing investments based on their historical expected returns, ensure that you compare securities of similar age. Otherwise, the comparison may be inaccurate due to differences in the calculation periods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" style=\"font-size:25px\"><strong>Example \u2014 Using Historical Expected Returns to calculate Portfolio Expected Return (values valid as at 20\/1\/2025<\/strong>)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Consider a hypothetical portfolio consisting of the following stocks:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>US:DUOL<\/strong>: 34% Portfolio weight<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>ASX:ANZ<\/strong> 33% Portfolio weight<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US:JPM<\/strong> 33% Portfolio weight<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\" style=\"font-size:16px\"><table class=\"has-ast-global-color-4-background-color has-background\"><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Company<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Expected Return (Historical)<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/ExplorerPage\/US-DUOL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">US:DUOL<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">49.15%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/ExplorerPage\/ASX-ANZ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ASX:ANZ<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3.12%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/ExplorerPage\/US-JPM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">US:JPM<\/a><\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17.64%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Note: All values accurate as at 20\/1\/2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Weighted Average of <strong>US:DUOL<\/strong>: 34% * 49.15% = <strong>16.711%<\/strong><br>Weighted Average of <strong>ASX:ANZ<\/strong> 33% * 3.12% = <strong>1.030%<\/strong><br>Weighted Average of <strong>US:JPM<\/strong> 33% * 17.64% = <strong>5.821%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The sum of the weighted averages <strong>16.711% + 1.030% + 5.821%<\/strong> is:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-ast-global-color-0-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-d4b92b33e5f3ff77d5a43d72189775f7\"><strong>Portfolio Expected Return (Historical) 23.562%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" style=\"font-size:25px\"><strong>Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Historical returns can provide valuable insights but should be interpreted with caution, as past performance is not indicative of future results. To view the <strong>Portfolio Expected Return (CAPM)<\/strong> for this portfolio example, <a href=\"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/how-is-capm-calculated\/\">click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The divergence between historical and CAPM returns for this portfolio highlights the importance of considering multiple factors when assessing investment opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>To learn how to select your preferred calculation method for expected return in Diversiview, <a href=\"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/?p=1149\">click here<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For each investment, the historical expected return is calculated as the annualised geometric (compound) average of its daily returns over [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"What Are Historical Expected Returns? | Diversiview Help","_seopress_titles_desc":"Learn what historical expected returns are and how Diversiview calculates the portfolio expected return from these values.","_seopress_robots_index":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[96,5,33],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1251"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1251"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1251\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1414,"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1251\/revisions\/1414"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1251"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1251"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diversiview.online\/help\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1251"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}